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formato 14 x 21 cm . brochura. What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great’s lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they’re impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the ‘experts’, The Black Swan shows us how to stop trying to predict everything – and take advantage of uncertainty.
ISBN: 9780141034591
Código de Barras: 9780141034591
Origem: Importado
Idioma: Inglês
Categoria: Livros
Autor: Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Título: The Black Swan
Editora: Penguin Books
Edição: 1ª Edição
Ano: 2007
Assunto: Literatura Estrangeira
Páginas: 366
Peso: 900 gramas
formato 14 x 21 cm . brochura. What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great’s lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they’re impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the ‘experts’, The Black Swan shows us how to stop trying to predict everything – and take advantage of uncertainty.
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